3 sources filed · EN 3
AI use in the last two weeks: Yes 24.2% (24.6%, 23.8%, 23.8% in the three prior waves); No 61.9% (65.8%); Do not know 13.9% (9.6%).
24.2%businesses using AI (now worded Super Intelligence) in the last two weeks, wave 202622, vs 24.6% prior wave
Box C: Bank staff built an AI activity proxy from computer programming and consulting, information services, and publishing (which includes AI agents and application software).
around 0.5%productivity gain from AI over the past three years, as estimated by DMP firms
Current impact, August 2026: 81.8% no impact, 3.8% decrease, 0.6% increase, 13.0% unsure.
81.8%businesses reporting no AI impact on their job vacancies, August 2026
1 source filed · EN 1
Modest: AI touches 4% of task instances by 2030; GDP +1.6%, growth 2.4% a year instead of 2%, labor share 60.0% to 59.4%, unemployment 3.9% against a normal 3.8%.
+8.3%GDP above the no-AI path in 2030, substantial scenario; the median US adult's answers imply +8.6%
1 source filed · EN 1
One standard deviation more AI exposure raises sector output by 7%, employment by about 4% and wage bills by 5% by the end of the sample.
7%rise in sector output per one standard deviation of AI exposure, emerging from 2021