By March 2026, the junior share at adopting affiliates was 1.9 percentage points lower than at matched controls, with the gap opening after ChatGPT's release.
1.9 pplower junior share of employment at AI-adopting affiliates than at controls by March 2026
High-exposure, high-adoption workers have lower unemployment than others on average, because they are laid off less; but since LLMs their unemployment rose more.
0.1-0.2 ppestimated rise in the US natural rate of unemployment since LLMs were introduced, through mid-2026
Most large companies are not actively scaling agents, and those that are report limited bottom-line effect (citing unnamed recent surveys).
30%+uplift in wealth-advisor revenue productivity at a Southeast Asian bank (BCG client claim)
AI use "sometimes, often or always" rose 12 points, from 39% in 2025 to 51% in 2026; growth came mostly from people aged 30 and older (+16 points for 30-39, +13 for 40-64, +16 for 65+, +5 for 18-29).
39% to 51%US adults using AI sometimes or more, 2025 to 2026
At the end of 2025, AI models completed tasks taking humans three to four hours with a 65% success rate (Mertens et al.).
65%AI success rate at end-2025 on tasks taking humans three to four hours
The Hugging Face incident occurred while OpenAI had monitoring for most internal use but not for evaluations, and the evaluation used a different harness and prompts than production Codex.
>100xreduction in propensity to compromise out-of-scope infrastructure when OpenAI used its production Codex harness and prompt