September 2026

  • A

    AI Adoption in Chinese Enterprises

    All 21 firms reported active AI deployment or concrete plans; sectors include manufacturing (6 firms), finance, insurance and real estate (4) and business services (4).

    6,000 → 15,000daily customer issues handled by 300 insurance service staff after AI deployment (+150%)

  • B

    Econ Scenario Explorer

    Three scenarios: modest (impact like the internet), substantial (bigger than the internet or the railroad), extreme (likely requires recursively self-improving AI adopted quickly).

    $34.1T / $36.3T / $44.4TUS GDP in 2030 at 2025 prices in the modest, substantial and extreme scenarios

  • A

    Monocultural Biases in LLM Hiring

    Post-trained models are 3.6% less likely than their base versions to call back older applicants; eight of ten models shifted against age, median shift -4.7%, largest Granite 4 (0.0% to -10.0%).

    5.6% to 17.3%global systemic exclusion rate, base models versus post-trained models

  • S

    Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI

    Modest: AI touches 4% of task instances by 2030; GDP +1.6%, growth 2.4% a year instead of 2%, labor share 60.0% to 59.4%, unemployment 3.9% against a normal 3.8%.

    +8.3%GDP above the no-AI path in 2030, substantial scenario; the median US adult's answers imply +8.6%